This morning Merri, our hound dog Ma and
I strolled five minutes in the
warm morning sun to the market and bought vegetables and
fruit. Here it
is: A huge hand of banana, three large red papaya, three
bags of
blackberries, eight ripe tomatoes, three bags of fresh green
beans, two
heads of crisp lettuce, a huge batch of greens, plus a bit
more. All
organic and just picked, garden fresh. The cost? Seven dollars
and
change. What value!
I hope you'll join us here at El Meson for our upcoming
Import-Export
course and share this view. This is the
last course that
Merri and I will have here until next fall.
We will focus on how to buy and export items
of extraordinary value!

Good value is one reason we love Ecuador.
One way to also spot
international investment trends is to look for value.
This is why statistical expert Michael Keppler
continuallyy researches all emerging stock markets and compares
their value based on
current book to price, cash flow to price, earnings to price,
average
dividend yield, return on equity and cash flow return. He
compares each
emerging stock markets history and from this develops his
good value
emerging stock markets strategy.
Here is his recent review of emerging market developments & his
outlook.
After the strong gains the month before, Emerging Markets
equities went
more or less sideways this last month.
The MSCI Emerging Markets World Total Return Index edged
down 0.1 % in
US dollars, but gained 1.7 % in euros.
Year-to-date, the global emerging markets benchmark is up
11 % in US
dollars and 9.9 % in euros. During the last fourteen months,
the MSCI
EM Index gained 48.8 % in US dollars and 69.6 % in euros.
Of the three regional indices, Latin America performed best
in February
(+0.9 %), followed by Asia (-0.2 %) and Europe, Middle East
and Africa
(-0.7 %). Over the last fourteen months, Latin America led
the race
with a gain of 77.6 %, EMEA came in at 56.1 % and Asia at
36.3 %.
Performance numbers are in US dollars unless mentioned otherwise.
Sixteen markets out of the 27-market MSCI Emerging Markets
universe
rose last month and eleven declined in US dollars.
Venezuela (+18.3 %), Pakistan (+15.4 %) and Morocco (+6.4
%) recorded
the best performances.
Jordan (-11.3 %), Egypt (-9.8 %) and South Africa (-5.6
%) had the
lowest monthly returns.
Over the previous fourteen months all but one of the twenty-seven
markets covered here rose.
As was the case one year ago, four
markets reaped triple-digit returns.
The best performing countries were Egypt (+198.5 %), Colombia
(+141.7
%) and Russia (+120.1 %). The only losing market over the
past fourteen
months was Venezuela, which declined 3.5 %, while the other
worst
performers Malaysia and Taiwan came in with single digit
gains of +9.1
% and +9.0 %, respectively.
Portfolios invested according to the Top Value Strategy
fared even
better than the benchmark. Year to date, the Top Value Strategy
gained
13.5 % in US dollars and 12.3 % in euros. Over the last fourteen
months, the Top Value Strategy gained 64 % in US dollars
and 87 % in euros, outperforming the MSCI Emerging Markets
Index by 15.2 and 17.4
percentage points respectively.
There is one change in Keppler's performance ratings this
month:
Argentina is upgraded from “Sell” to “Neutral”. However,
this rating
change does not affect the composition of the Top Value Strategy,
which, at the end of last month contains the following eight
national
MSCI Emerging Markets: Brazil, China, Korea, Malaysia, the
Philippines,
Russia, Taiwan, Thailand and Turkey at equal weights.
According to Keppler’s performance ratings, these
markets offer the
highest expectation of risk-adjusted returns.
Keppler also feels that Emerging Markets equities in general
and those
included in the Top Value Strategy in particular do not seem
to be
overpriced compared with their history. Keppler’svaluation
work
suggests that these markets are far from dangerous territory
and
chances are good for a continuation of decent returns over
the next
three to five years.
You can get ideas on shares in these top value major global
stock
markets from Thomas Fischer at FISCHER@jyskebank.dk
For more details on Keppler's analysis, contact Roderick
Cameron at
1-212-245-4304 or at roderick.cameron@kamny.com
Until next message good international investments to you!
Gary
P.S. Join Merri, Thomas Fischer of Jyske Bank and me at
our next International
Business and Investing Made EZ course in North
Carolina. Review where to invest and
do business now and
learn which markets and currencies may be strong in the year
ahead. DETAILS
P.P.S. Double your profit potential with the MultiCurrency
Sandwich.
Details on
my Borrow Low - Deposit High service