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International Investments



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 Dollar Hedge Sandwich

By Gary Scott

International investments can help you gain profit and safety and there is an old saying about investors. "Sometimes Bears win. Other times Bulls win. Hogs always get slaughtered." However there is a way to enjoy excellent profits as a hedgehog. This message looks at a MultiCurrency Sandwich portfolio that hedges the value of US dollar and suits those who believe that the greenback may maintain its value versus other currencies, but want protection in case it does not.

US Dollar Hedge MultiCurrency Sandwich

Starting Date 10/21/05

$100,000 Invested & $200,000 Borrowed

$ Amount Currency Investment % Yield
$12,000 BRL 12.5% Brazil Rep 05-01-16 11.82%
$30,000 AUD 5.5% Landwirt Rentenbank 16-04-07 5.48%
$30,000 GBP 7.125% British Tel 07-12-06 7.32%
$30,000 HUF 6.25% Hungary Gvt. 12-06-07 6.20%
$30,000 ISK 0% Iceland 09-02-2007 11.20%
$30,000 MXN 8% Mexican Fix Bonos 24-12-08 7.89%
$30,000 NZD 6.5% ABN Amro Bnk 08-02-08 6.47%
$12,000 TRY 14.5% E.I.B. 21-02-07 14.34%
$15,000 USD 7.2% Ford-Global 15-06-07 7.10%
$15,000 USD 3.875% Deutsche Telekom 22.07.08 3.78%
$30,000 EUR JI High Yield Corporate Bond Fnd 5.00%
$36,000 USD JI Emerging Markets Bond Fnd 7.00%

Total Invested $300,000

Estimated Gross Income $ 21,800

Loans in UD$ Equivalent

20.00% JPY 1.63% 40,000

80.00% CHF 2.38% 160,000

Total Loan $200,000

Total Estimated Loan Cost $4,460

Net Amount Invested $100,000

Estimated Income After Loan Cost $17,340

You can see subtle changes in this portfolio if you compare it to the US dollar long and short portfolios. Less belief in the greenback (than in the dollar long portfolio) means that weightings in the British pound, Hungarian florin, and euro are increased. Weightings in the dollar linked Mexican peso and US dollar denominated bonds are reduced.

This portfolio has a slightly reduced potential over the long but is still projected to return 17.34% per annum on the initial $100,000 invested.

The profit projection is made before calculating fees. Plus there are risks. Study Lesson 14 of International Currencies Made EZ. This is a free online course to help you understand the risks and rewards of the multicurrency sandwich.

In addition to enhanced profit potential investors who hold this type of portfolio gain security and stability by having a diversified basked of currencies.

There are those who believe in a steady US dollar. If their beliefs are correct, they can earn 17.34% with this hedge and not be a hog. Perhaps they'll even gain some extra forex profits.

If you have not enrolled in our MultiCurrency tracking Service go to our catalogue.

International investments and currencies can help you gain safety and profit. Until next message, may all your investments be good!

Gary

March, 2006

 

 

 

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All contact copyright Gary A. Scott (1968-2006) unless noted otherwise